An alternate view.
Whenever the figures are actually checked in countries such as South Africa that do have reliable record-keeping, it’s found that the program grossly overestimates the actual death toll. Even after new computer models were devised the calculations have remained faulty. The model is flawed, in part, because of the way that data is collected.
I hope this is true. Not that we’ve been duped by faulty models, that Africa isn’t in such bad shape. AIDS-wise, anyway.